IRAN WAR MIGHT GET A LOT WORSE BEFORE IT GETS BETTER US NFP FEB’26 PREVIEW THE WEEK AHEAD ECONOMIC DATA RELEASE 22ND FEB 2026 RISK ASSETS MIGHT BE WRONG ABOUT IRAN DON’T WRITE OFF DOLLAR YET BYE BYE IEEPA TARIFFS THE WEEK AHEAD ECONOMIC DATA RELEASE 15TH FEB 2026 DEEPSEEK V4 COMING ON 17TH FEB Bear Flattener US SOFR 7TH FEB 2026

VIX TRIGGER IS CARRY TRADE UNWINDING & NOT US HARD LANDING

ADMIN || 6th August 2024

There has been massive unwinding of risk assets in the past 4 days since BOJ hiked interest rates by 15 bps and announced a phased reduction in QE. In the same period, NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) July data for US got released which was remarkably weak in UR (Unemployment Rate) and headline NFP too. But the cause of the current rise in IVs is the unwinding of carry trades and not a hard landing of US economy which US rates markets seem to be building the case for.

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