Crude’s calmness is scary Is the Fed’s next rate action a rate hike THE WEEK AHEAD ECONOMIC DATA RELEASE 31ST MAY 2026 US NFP MAY’26 PREVIEW AI’s IMPACT ON US INFLATION & EMPLOYMENT THE STATE OF US ECONOMY: RED HOT THE WEEK AHEAD ECONOMIC DATA RELEASE 24TH MAY 2026 SpaceX IPO: A Moonshot Valuation Play

US Natural Gas Prices Have Room to Fall Further

ADMIN || 9th January 2026

April US natural gas is set to roll into the front month in February and has already slipped below $3 per million British thermal units, tracking a drop in the national average gasoline price to about $2.82 a gallon. History suggests a deeper slide a move toward $2 is often the market’s way of restoring balance, a dynamic that would align with the Trump administration’s preference for lower energy prices and Treasury yields.

Both the April gas contract and average US pump prices fell through the $3 mark on Jan. 7, reviving a familiar pattern in natural gas: Rallies struggle to hold above $4, while prices repeatedly gravitate back toward $2, as seen in the graphic below. Over roughly 12 years of trading, the April contract’s most common price is near $2.90, close to current levels and an initial support zone.

The clock is ticking. Winter heating demand is fading and the April contract expires March 27. What arrests the downside from here remains unclear.

The clearest potential tailwind would be colder-than-normal weather. Winter in the US arrived with a burst of chill, but forecasts suggest it may end more gently, consistent with longer-term warming trends. For now, the front-month gas contract is around $3.50.

Legal Disclaimer:

Trading foreign exchange/commodities/equities/bonds on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange/commodities/equities you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange/commodities/equities trading and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.

Read More