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Economic Data Release

A HEAVY WEEK AHEAD FOR CENTRAL BANK MEETINGS

ADMIN || 15th December 2025

The year’s last central-bank bonanza lands alongside a heavy run of global data, giving markets a final read on growth, inflation and demand before the holiday lull. China opens with retail, production and home prices, Europe follows with PMIs and sentiment surveys, and the US lines up jobs data, retail sales, and PMIs. The UK delivers a full slate of labour-market and inflation figures ahead of the BOE decision.

The back half is dominated by rate calls from the ECB, BOE, Riksbank, Norges Bank and the BOJ. Emerging markets add their own policy run, with Indonesia’s decision, Brazil’s meeting minutes and monetary policy report, and Chile’s rate call all landing in a tight window. Japanese CPI, New Zealand GDP and Micron’s earnings round out the calendar.

While ECB is likely to remain hold, BOE is likely to cut rates by a neutral 25 bps while BOJ is likely to hike rates by dovish 25bps. In the last 1 year, Fed has cut rates by 100 bps but 10yr USTs are where they were 1 year back exactly at 4.18. Now when commodities are making fresh highs, both fiscal and inflation worries might keep long end yields elevated globally. The only saving grace is Crude which remains subdued.

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